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Florida vs. Tennessee Game Preview
Tennessee has shocked the college football world but not in a good way. Consistently having top ranked recruiting classes, the Tennessee Volunteers have been embarrassed multiple times this season. This trend has not stopped either, they are 17 point underdogs against a 7-1 Gators team. This is the largest spread in any game between the two since 1984. This will be an interesting matchup of a high powered offense versus a surprisingly frisky Tennessee defense.
The Tennessee Volunteers have held three of their last four opponents to under 35 points. It will be a tough task to hold Kyle Trask and company from putting up big points. The Tennessee Volunteers offense have done them no favors in moving the ball. They consistently turn the ball over and struggle to move the ball. Leading to short fields for opposing offenses. Jarrett Guarantano has really struggled this season so freshman Harrison Bailey could get the start in this one. Jarrett was removed from the game last week against Auburn last week.
Florida vs. Tennessee Sports Betting Odds
|BetMGM TN||FanDuel TN||DraftKings TN|
|Opening Spread||FL: -17 TEN:+17||FL: -17 TEN:+17||FL: -17 TEN:+17|
|Current Spread||FL: -17.5 TEN:+17.5||FL: -17 TEN:+17.5||FL: -17 TEN:+17|
|Moneyline||FL: -750 TEN:+525||FL: -900 TEN:+570||FL: -770 TEN:+525|
How To Watch/Listen To The Tennessee Volunteers
- Date: Saturday Dec. 5
- Time: 2:30 PM CT
- Location: Neyland Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
- TV: CBS
- Radio: WGFX (Nashville) FM 104.5/ ESPN 98.1 FM (Florida) WRUF 850 AM
Florida 88.51% vs Tennessee 16% – Implied Winning Probability
This sharp calculation is something that can be used for all types of bets. One of the most important cases to use this is for parlay bets. Implied winning probability can primarily be used to calculate the vigorish that is charged by sportsbooks. It is important to recognize that vigs are compounded when placing parlay bets.
Tennessee is +525 to win the game against the Florida Gators. This would give Tennessee a 16% chance to win the game on Saturday. Conversely, the Florida Gators are -770 which would calculate to a 88.51% chance to win. 88.51 added to 16 would equal 104.15. The vig in this case is 4.15% which is being charged by DraftKings.
Keys to Victory
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
Tennessee has consistently had one of the most successful recruiting classes for several years. This has not translated very well at all and the team has struggled this year. The line has not moved very much since it opened at 17 at the start of the week.
Jarrett Guarantano is officially on the hot seat
Tennessee actually played better than the final score would indicate against Auburn. One of the reasons for continually struggling is turnovers. Guarantano threw a crushing red zone interception that was returned 100 yards for a touchdown. We could see freshman Harrison Bailey get some consistent playing time after he took over last week for Guarantano.
BetMGM Tennessee Best Bet: Under 61.5
Written by Erich Richter
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