The NFL Comeback Player of the Year award is given annually to a player who has gone through something difficult to come back to the field and play at a high level again. Injury is the most common comeback story, but there have been situations in which a player has missed time for other reasons and came back and won the award.
The Tennessee Titans’ Derrick Henry is one of the award favorites for the upcoming NFL season. The running back’s odds show that he is the favorite ranging from +300 to +550 at various sportsbooks — averaging about +200 better odds than the next most likely player Jameis Winston.
Betting odds for this market and for many others are available at all of Tennessee’s top sports betting apps.
Derrick Henry Comeback Player of the Year Odds
|Derrick Henry, TEN||+350||+300||+350|
|Jameis Winston, NO||+500||+550||+600|
|Daniel Jones, NYG||+850||+800||+850|
|Michael Thomas, NO||+900||+700||+900|
|Christian McCaffrey, CAR||+1000||+750||+1200|
|Mitchell Trubisky, PIT||+1200||+1000||+1200|
|Marcus Mariota, ATL||+1200||+1400||+1200|
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Why Derrick Henry Might Win the Award
There are many reasons Henry is the favorite to win Comeback Player of the Year. Honestly, there are too many to mention them all, but let’s look at the top three reasons why Henry is a solid betting option to win.
- He is the entire offense for the Tennessee Titans. Especially with the Titans trading away WR AJ Brown, the already run-centric Titans’ offense might be even more so if that’s even possible. Henry is going to get more than enough touches for the opportunity to put up big stats and win the award.
- Henry has a strong history of putting up big statistics. Two seasons ago, Henry won the Associated Press Offensive Player of the Year award. That was mainly due to the crazy stats the all-pro running back put up. With 2,027 yards rushing, 17 rushing touchdowns, and four receiving touchdowns, it is easy to see why he garnered over 60% of the votes for the award. Even playing in eight games last season, Henry still rushed 937 yards. Potentially he could have had back-to-back 2000-yard seasons if he stayed healthy.
- Henry has always been durable, even with a routinely heavy workload. Henry’s previous five NFL seasons, he had only missed two out of 80 regular-season games. It is fair to say that last season’s foot fracture was just a freak injury and not something that will likely be an issue again.
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Why Derrick Henry Might Not Win the Award
Having looked at why Henry is a solid bet to win the award, let’s look at two things that could keep him from winning the award.
- He gets injured again. Why this is unlikely has been explained. Yet, football is a violent sport with big collisions, especially for a physical runner like Henry. If he gets hurt again and misses significant time, that would put him out of the running for the award.
- Henry has a great year, but the Titans are not successful and have a tough season. If another player puts up slightly worse stats than Henry but is a crucial piece to a team’s playoff run, that could hurt Henry’s chances of winning the award.
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