The Final Four wraps up on Saturday, April 1, with a matchup between No. 4 seed UConn and No. 5 seed Miami with tipoff set for 8:49 p.m. ET. The Huskies will be looking to advance to their fifth title game while a win for the Hurricanes would put them in the national championship for the first time in school history.
Let’s take a look at the Final Four odds and predictions for UConn vs. Miami. If you feel like placing a wager on the game, check out all of the best sports betting bonuses available.
Final Four Odds: Miami vs. Connecticut
UConn comes into this matchup as the clear March Madness favorite, with national championship odds as low as -140 on Caesars Sportsbook. The next closest team is San Diego State with title odds at +400 on most online sportsbooks.
When it comes to UConn’s matchup against Miami, the Huskies are 5.5-point favorites across the top four online sportsbooks. While there is no edge to be had in the spread itself, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Miami +5.5 at -105 odds at the time of this writing. This is slightly better than the -110 offered elsewhere.
FanDuel has the best moneyline odds for Miami at +205. DraftKings Sportsbook, on the other hand, has the best moneyline odds for UConn at -245.
Oddsmakers are expecting far more scoring in this Final Four game compared to San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic, with a point total set for 149.5 compared to 131.5 in the earlier game.
UConn vs. Miami Final Four Prediction
With moneyline odds of -245, UConn has a 71% implied probability to move onto the national championship game being played on Monday, April 3. The moneyline isn’t all that enticing from a potential payout perspective, as a $25 wager at -245 would result in just a $10 profit.
When it comes to the spread, both teams have strong records this season. Connecticut, in particular, has the third-highest cover rate against the spread (ATS) on the season at 69.4% (25-11-1). Miami more than holds its own as well, however, going 22-14, good enough for a 61.1% cover rate.
UConn is 23-11-1 ATS as a favorite, covering in nearly 68% of its games.
Miami has the fourth-highest cover rate against the spread as an underdog at 81.8% (9-2) and covers by an average of 6.1 points.
In regards to betting the over/under with these teams, UConn has seen 51.4% of its games hit the over while Miami has seen 51.4% of its games hit the under.
Both teams are averaging 81.25 points per game, but Miami has allowed 70.25 while UConn has given up an average of 59 points per game. UConn ranks in the top 11 in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, with Miami ranking 5th in offensive but 104th in defense.
UConn’s defense is the difference in this one and the Huskies head to their fifth national championship game.
Best Bet: UConn -5.5