Week 12 of NFL play is here on Sunday, Nov. 26, and two of the better games for wagering this weekend are the Ravens at Chargers and the Panthers at Titans. So, before the opening kickoff, we’re looking at the best NFL player props for Louisville alumn Lamar Jackson and Kentucky alum Will Levis. The two are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but both have a variety of competitive options on the market for their upcoming contest. We outlined a few of them below along with some of the best sportsbook bonuses up for grabs.
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NFL Player Props for Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson Over 232.5 Passing Yards (-115 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Chargers are the absolute worst in the league in passing defense. They are dead last in passing yards allowed, surrendering 291 yards per game and allowing a completion percentage of 68% per contest. The Chargers have only held one QB in their last six games below Jackson’s listed total for this contest — Chicago Bears’ backup QB Tyson Bagent.
Bagent finished the game with 232 passing yards — just half a yard short of Jackson’s total tonight on DraftKings Sportsbook. It was his highest passing yards performance of the season and his third-highest completion percentage. In the other five games of their last six, the Chargers allowed 322 yards to Jordan Love (season-high), 333 to Jared Goff (second-highest total this season), 263 yards to Zach Wilson (season-high), and 424 to Patrick Mahomes (season-high). Taking the Chargers to hold anyone under their passing total is not a good wager.
Lamar Jackson Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (-117 odds on Caesars Sportsbook)
Although their passing defense is abysmal, the Chargers’ rushing defense is currently 12th best in yards allowed, giving up 102 yards on the ground per contest. Jackson sits atop the league in QB rushing attempts with 101, but his legs shouldn’t be as needed in this one. Jackson has only faced two current top-10 rushing defenses, and in both games, he was held below his season average and his listed total for this game.
Except for the first game of the season against the Texans, his performance through the air has elevated when he is limited on the ground. Given how much the Chargers struggle stopping the pass, the Ravens may look to air it out and protect Jackson’s body for the long haul, which they have articulated loudly as a priority for the team this season.
NFL Player Props for Will Levis
Will Levis Under 28.5 Passing Attempts (-114 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook)
Will Levis debuted with one of the most explosive performances from a rookie QB in league history, throwing for 238 yards and four touchdowns against the Falcons. Riding the high of his performance, the Titans decided to see what he was capable of in the following weeks, and he hasn’t been as successful. In his first start, he tossed the ball 29 times. In the next two games, he threw it 39 times in both outings.
After being sacked four times and throwing an interception in back-to-back games, it appears the Titans are starting to pull back on the reins. Last weekend against the Jaguars, he only threw the ball 17 times. This Sunday, he is up against a Panthers team struggling to put up wins but owns one of the best passing defenses. Carolina is seventh in the league in passing yards allowed and is near the bottom in total passing touchdowns allowed.
The Panthers’ overall defense, however, is bottom 10. Given Levis’ struggles lately and having one of the best running backs in football up against a bad rushing defense, the Titans are likely to turn their hog, Derrick Henry, and allow his success to dictate the flow of the offense yet again.
Will Levis Under 18.5 Completions (-120 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook)
Levis racked up a lot of completions through his first three starts thanks to heavy passing attempts. Despite being in close games, the yardage didn’t amount to many points for the Titans. Now, it’s clear the team is going back to their identity of running the ball to create play-action attempts for their QB. That should help limit Levis’ mistakes, but it isn’t good news for his completion numbers either.
Last weekend, he connected on 13 of his 17 passes for 158 yards and two touchdowns. That was against a Jacksonville team that is 29th in passing yards per game. He isn’t likely to flip a switch and set one of the top passing defenses ablaze in this matchup, even though they’ll have a chance to win the game.
